Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olancho · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Olancho are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Juticalpa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Olancho hold a 57.8-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Liga Nacional, while Olancho holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olancho
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
13.2%
Olancho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00