Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Okzhetpes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Zhetysu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60