Okzhetpesvs
Yelimay Semey
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Premier League · 3/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Okzhetpes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Yelimay Semey are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.7% in the Premier League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.7%
Model confidence
33.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20