Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Okzhetpes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ulytau are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60