Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Okzhetpes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Okzhetpes are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Altay are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Okzhetpes hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Premier League, while Okzhetpes holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Okzhetpes
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
15.1%
Okzhetpes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20