GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/19/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thespakusatsu Gunma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Oita Trinita are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Thespakusatsu Gunma are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Oita Trinita hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Thespakusatsu Gunma holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thespakusatsu Gunma

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

9.5%

Thespakusatsu Gunma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oita TrinitaWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Thespakusatsu GunmaWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oita TrinitaThespakusatsu Gunma
42.9Attack33.3
23.8Defence0.0
19.0Form0.0
31.3Power15.3
1.80xG1.90
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