Oita TrinitavsShonan Bellmare

Oita Trinita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shonan Bellmare are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shonan Bellmare hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the J2 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.