Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
OH Leuven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
OH Leuven are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lille are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and OH Leuven hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (77.9 v 61.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while OH Leuven holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
OH Leuven
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
OH Leuven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00