Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oguzsport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Oguzsport are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Iskra are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oguzsport hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 20.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Oguzsport holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oguzsport
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Oguzsport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40