Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oguzsport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oguzsport are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Făleşti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Oguzsport hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Liga 1, while Oguzsport holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oguzsport
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
10.4%
Oguzsport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80