Ogre Unitedvs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tukums · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Ogre United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tukums are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tukums hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Virsliga, while Tukums holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tukums
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Tukums has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80