Ogre Unitedvs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ogre United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Super Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20