Ogre Unitedvs
Riga
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 6/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Ogre United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 58.6-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.2% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
92.2%
Model confidence
92.2%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80