GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 5/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grobiņa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ogre United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Grobiņa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grobiņa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Virsliga, while Grobiņa holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Grobiņa

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

Grobiņa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ogre UnitedLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GrobiņaLDDLD

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
32.0Attack23.1
13.3Defence39.7
18.7Form26.9
24.9Power32.5
1.22xG1.27
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