GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grobiņa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ogre United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grobiņa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Grobiņa hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.4% in the Virsliga, while Grobiņa holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Grobiņa

Probability

34.4%

Model confidence

34.4%

Grobiņa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ogre UnitedLLLDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GrobiņaLDWLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
32.0Attack23.1
13.3Defence39.7
18.7Form26.9
24.9Power32.5
1.22xG1.27
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