Ogre Unitedvs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FS Jelgava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ogre United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FS Jelgava hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Virsliga, while FS Jelgava holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FS Jelgava
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
FS Jelgava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80