Ogre UnitedvsFK Liepaja

Ogre United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Liepaja hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.4% in the Virsliga, while FK Liepaja holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.