GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 7/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BFC Daugavpils · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Ogre United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while BFC Daugavpils are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (24.9 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BFC Daugavpils

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ogre UnitedWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BFC DaugavpilsDWLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
32.0Attack42.3
13.3Defence60.3
18.7Form46.2
24.9Power51.0
0.77xG2.06
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