Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
OFK Vršac are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naftagas are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and OFK Vršac hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the Prva Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
25.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00