Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
26%
HighconfidenceOeste are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Paulista are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 49.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring a draw with 25.7% confidence, a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
25.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
OesteLLWLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PaulistaLWLWL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OestePaulista
36.7Attack30.6
63.3Defence66.7
43.3Form44.4
50.1Power49.3
0.79xG0.62