Romania · Liga I · 8/16/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universitatea Craiova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oţelul are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universitatea Craiova are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Universitatea Craiova hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Liga I, while Universitatea Craiova holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universitatea Craiova
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Universitatea Craiova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00