Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oţelul · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Oţelul are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Bacau are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Bacau hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Oţelul holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oţelul
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Oţelul has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60