Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oddevold · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Oddevold are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Orebro SK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oddevold hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Superettan, while Oddevold holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oddevold
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
13.5%
Oddevold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00