Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Odd II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Odd II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hinna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hinna hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the 3. Division - Girone 4, while Odd II holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Odd II
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
6.7%
Odd II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80