GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monaro Panthers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

O'Connor Knights are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Monaro Panthers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Monaro Panthers hold a 33.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Monaro Panthers holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monaro Panthers

Probability

80.6%

Model confidence

9.0%

Monaro Panthers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

O'Connor KnightsWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Monaro PanthersWWWWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
O'Connor KnightsMonaro Panthers
42.1Attack100.0
33.3Defence54.4
35.1Form75.4
39.4Power72.9
1.18xG3.96
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