Oborishtevs
Natsional Sofia
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/15/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oborishte · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oborishte are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Natsional Sofia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oborishte hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Third League - Southwest, while Oborishte holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oborishte
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
13.6%
Oborishte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50