Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Weiz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Oberwart are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Weiz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Weiz hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Weiz holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Weiz
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
7.5%
Weiz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20