GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Oakland Roots are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sacramento Republic

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsLLLWD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sacramento RepublicDLWLW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
41.7Attack44.4
51.7Defence70.4
36.7Form50.0
45.9Power55.6
0.77xG1.21
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