Oakland Rootsvs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Oakland Roots are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00