Oakland Rootsvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Oakland Roots are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00