Oakland Rootsvs
Monterey Bay
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oakland Roots · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Oakland Roots are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oakland Roots
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
12.8%
Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80