GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakland Roots · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Oakland Roots are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakland Roots

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

12.8%

Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Monterey BayLLLLL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oakland RootsMonterey Bay
41.7Attack35.0
51.7Defence40.0
36.7Form25.0
45.9Power35.6
1.66xG0.90
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