GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Oakland Roots are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsDLDWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC TulsaLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Oakland RootsFC Tulsa
41.3Attack35.1
52.4Defence68.4
36.5Form50.9
46.0Power53.1
0.82xG0.94
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