GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oakland Roots are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while El Paso Locomotive are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Paso Locomotive

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsDDWDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
El Paso LocomotiveDLWLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
41.7Attack50.9
51.7Defence52.6
36.7Form49.1
45.9Power52.0
1.24xG1.38
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