GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oakland Roots · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Oakland Roots are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Oakland Roots hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (46.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the USL Championship, while Oakland Roots holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oakland Roots

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Oakland Roots has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Oakland RootsDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Birmingham LegionLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Oakland RootsBirmingham Legion
41.3Attack37.0
52.4Defence55.6
36.5Form31.5
46.0Power43.9
1.19xG0.96
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