Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O Elvas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
O Elvas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fátima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and O Elvas hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (75.9 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.4% in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C, while O Elvas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
O Elvas
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
27.4%
O Elvas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40