GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 3/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyva Ternopil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nyva Ternopil are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Yarud Mariupol' are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Ternopil hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nyva Ternopil holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyva Ternopil

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Nyva Ternopil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyva TernopilWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yarud Mariupol'WDLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nyva TernopilYarud Mariupol'
33.3Attack33.3
55.6Defence33.3
22.2Form0.0
40.2Power23.7
1.79xG1.38
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