Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nyköping are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Forward are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60