Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Nyköping are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fittja are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20