GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/3/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nyasa Big Bullets · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nyasa Big Bullets are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MAFCO are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyasa Big Bullets hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Super League, while Nyasa Big Bullets holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nyasa Big Bullets

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Nyasa Big Bullets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nyasa Big BulletsDWDWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MAFCODLLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nyasa Big BulletsMAFCO
38.9Attack28.2
80.6Defence64.1
63.9Form33.3
63.7Power43.0
0.96xG0.34
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