GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Greenville Triumph · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NY Cosmos are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Greenville Triumph hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Greenville Triumph

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

13.2%

Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NY CosmosLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Greenville TriumphLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NY CosmosGreenville Triumph
33.3Attack36.8
25.9Defence43.9
20.4Form33.3
29.9Power40.1
1.17xG1.55
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