GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

NY Cosmos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 34.6-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.0% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

80.0%

Model confidence

80.0%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NY CosmosWWLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Forward MadisonLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NY CosmosForward Madison
33.3Attack66.7
25.9Defence64.9
20.4Form63.2
29.9Power64.5
0.68xG3.01
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