GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Mediumconfidence

NY Cosmos are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

81.0%

Model confidence

10.1%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NY CosmosWLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.50/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Charlotte IndependenceWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NY CosmosCharlotte Independence
33.3Attack75.4
25.9Defence52.6
20.4Form68.4
29.9Power65.9
0.91xG3.43
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