Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
NY Cosmos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boise are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Boise hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.9% in the USL League One, while Boise holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boise
Probability
61.9%
Model confidence
61.9%
Boise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60