Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
NY Cosmos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
12.5%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40