NWS Spiritvs
St. George Saints
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 7/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NWS Spirit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while St. George Saints are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NWS Spirit
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80