GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 3/7/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NWS Spirit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

NWS Spirit are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while St George City FA are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NWS Spirit

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NWS SpiritWLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St George City FAWDDLL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NWS SpiritSt George City FA
41.7Attack32.1
56.0Defence52.4
44.0Form44.0
48.0Power45.3
1.30xG0.78
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