NWS Spiritvs
Manly United
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 5/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Manly United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.0 against 48.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80