GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/8/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NWS Spirit are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Blacktown City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 46.2 against 46.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the New South Wales NPL, favouring a draw with 13.9% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.0%

Model confidence

13.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NWS SpiritLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Blacktown CityWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritBlacktown City
38.3Attack49.4
54.3Defence45.7
42.0Form38.3
46.2Power46.2
1.35xG1.25
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