GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

NWS Spirit are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (48.0 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

55.6%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NWS SpiritLLDWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersDLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NWS SpiritAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
41.7Attack73.8
56.0Defence60.7
44.0Form76.2
48.0Power71.6
0.99xG1.93
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