GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Springvale · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Nunawading are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Springvale are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Springvale hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Springvale holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Springvale

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

14.2%

Springvale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NunawadingLWDWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SpringvaleDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NunawadingSpringvale
30.4Attack40.3
43.5Defence38.9
36.2Form40.3
39.2Power41.6
1.20xG1.27
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