Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nublense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palestino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.1 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60